Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Vs. a Maniac/Fish/non reg we should just flat this preflop. Our 3bets gain EV by Fold Equity which we do not have vs this guy.
Here is equiab equities AQo vs Any suited hand/decent off suit hand.
I have this guy slightly over 50% of all hands
As you can see we are not that big of a favorite:
We're almost a 2:1 favorite equity wise. That's huge. We don't need or want fold equity to make this hand profitable as a 3-bet.
Quote:
1) We are also OOP so even though our equity might be 63-64% we are going to under realize that equity.
2) We are 300BB's effective. high card off suit hands play very poorly in high SPR spots like this when we are very often going to have 1 pair type hands.
As played, just X/F. We are against a maniac, we do not have to play our range here, we can just play our hand.
I'm not sure what you mean when you say we're going to under-realize our equity. Does it mean that our equity is an over-estimate of our EV? I have heard the phrase before but never seen it explained well.
Anyway, even if we are forced to fold our equity more often with AQo because we have fewer ways to flop well, we make up for it the times we do flop well and have the potential to win a huge pot with one pair. Our equity in the pot is an under-estimate of EV.
High-card offsuit hands are not the best in high-SPR pots against good opponents who construct ranges well. This is exactly the kind of hand we want to have against a punter who doesn't construct ranges well. Making any pair post is going to be very profitable regardless of stack depth because the opponent doesn't have the ability to pressure us into folding a pair.
Pre-flop is a must 3-bet, I am 3-betting a significantly wider range than normal SB vs. CO. We want to get it HU with the maniac and we want to build a pot with a good hand.
Flop is a range check against a player who bets 100%. If you're thinking about c-betting, consider a x/r.
You guys make this stuff too hard. The first two decision points are the easy ones. 3-bet pre because we have a good hand and check flop because villain always bets. Deciding how to react to his bet when we have A-high is the toughest decision in the hand. IMO x/r, x/c and x/f all have good arguments.
Also, lol at flatting the SB here being unprofitable. Obviously it is very profitable against a weak player when we're a huge favorite against his range.