2/4 should I shove turn with 9d9h on 8s6c3cTd?
01-28-2018
, 08:27 PM
Casino, $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 10 players.
The current table has been playing for about 4 hours and I have a tight aggressive image.
UTG: $112 (loose fish happy to throw his money around)
UTG+1: $200
UTG+2: $200
UTG+3: $200
UTG+4: $200
Hero (HJ): $486
CO: $200
BTN: $350 (bad beginner)
SB: $650 (unclear, a little loose preflop, played TPTK like its the absolute nuts in one hand)
BB: $250 (was tight for the first few hours, but the last hour or so has been playing loose)
Preflop: Hero is HJ with 9
9
UTG straddles $10, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $26, fold, BTN calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls
This was the second straddle of the day and most raises were to $15 so I thought $26 should get me just one caller. I was wrong.
Flop: ($130) 8
6
3 (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $90, BTN folds, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls and is all-in
The perfect flop to get called by draws so I size big.
Turn: ($400) T (3 players, 1 is all-in)
SB checks, Hero?
I have $370 behind and SB covers.
The current table has been playing for about 4 hours and I have a tight aggressive image.
UTG: $112 (loose fish happy to throw his money around)
UTG+1: $200
UTG+2: $200
UTG+3: $200
UTG+4: $200
Hero (HJ): $486
CO: $200
BTN: $350 (bad beginner)
SB: $650 (unclear, a little loose preflop, played TPTK like its the absolute nuts in one hand)
BB: $250 (was tight for the first few hours, but the last hour or so has been playing loose)
Preflop: Hero is HJ with 9
9UTG straddles $10, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $26, fold, BTN calls, SB calls, BB calls, UTG calls
This was the second straddle of the day and most raises were to $15 so I thought $26 should get me just one caller. I was wrong.
Flop: ($130) 8
63 (5 players)SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $90, BTN folds, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls and is all-in
The perfect flop to get called by draws so I size big.
Turn: ($400) T
(3 players, 1 is all-in)SB checks, Hero?
I have $370 behind and SB covers.
01-29-2018
, 11:02 AM
01-29-2018
, 12:59 PM
Quote:
I'd actually size a bit bigger OTF to set up an easy turn shove if merited, and to make a chain of callers less likely.
AP, a PSB shove in a protected pot is too big, imo. With only one card to come, you may loos all of the draws and only get calls from better hands. I probably go $170-200, even though it only leaves a very small bet behind OTR.
AP, a PSB shove in a protected pot is too big, imo. With only one card to come, you may loos all of the draws and only get calls from better hands. I probably go $170-200, even though it only leaves a very small bet behind OTR.
So, Garick is willing to go after V's money, making him a 3% money dog. I guess he is willing to fold to a
on the river. This is his style, giving them rope to hang themselves, but I've never been able to make it this thin.
01-29-2018
, 01:47 PM
Quote:
If he calls with FD+overs( 15 outs he's about 34%) but he could just as easily have Ax and be (12 outs 27%). Am I doing this math wrong Garlick? I'm not sure where we're getting 18% at. These are just the combos we are ahead of. There are plenty of 10x
in his range as well that has us absolutely smoked. Random 2 pairs on occasion but not likely.
01-29-2018
, 07:32 PM
Thanks! I copied the hm2 format 
Cool. The consensus seems to be to bet somewhere between $125-allin. I think I would prefer to reduce the variance and deny the equity with the larger bet as you suggest (though I'm still leaning towards all-in) but I can see how a smaller size offers the rope...
I'm not sure we can put him on exactly two clubs, rather two clubs is a large part of his range. There are still 46 unknown cards.
Cool. The consensus seems to be to bet somewhere between $125-allin. I think I would prefer to reduce the variance and deny the equity with the larger bet as you suggest (though I'm still leaning towards all-in) but I can see how a smaller size offers the rope...
I'm not sure we can put him on exactly two clubs, rather two clubs is a large part of his range. There are still 46 unknown cards.
01-30-2018
, 09:41 AM