Private 2/4 game, plays like a 1/2 game at a casino, except standard preflop raise is 3-4x BB.
Hero: Looser than normal TAG, probably viewed as ok but not great.
Villian: high vpip. sticky. Will call bets with really anything, overcards, etc. Plays weak hands out of position. Not particularly aggressive but can be spazzy in big pots. Known to slowplay oop.
Hero dealt J
J
V limps, UTG+1 limp, Hero raises to $24. Villian calls, UTG+1 folds
($58 pot) Flop K
9
6
Villain checks, Hero bets $29, Villian calls
($116 pot) Turn J
Villian checks, Hero bets $79, Villian calls
($273 pot) River 6
Villian goes all in for $211, Hero?
Leaning towards a fold but river seems like a good card to spaz out with two pair or a hopeless sort of middle pair + gutshot. I don't think this player would c/r turn with such a hand.
Are we good 30%+ of the time? How bad of a call is it?