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Old 11-29-2015, 04:43 AM   #1
AlienBoy
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2/3 QQ faces flop donk bet

No real reads on villain other than he seems fairy tight.

Effective Stacks are $260, 7 handed.

Hero has QQ in the HJ

folds to hero who raises to $12. Folds to SB (villian) who calls, BB calls

3 to flop, pot $30 (after rake)

Flop is J 9 5

SB bets $30, BB folds. What is Hero's best play?

1) flat call and re evaluate turn
2) jam it!
3) raise to about 80 (and what is our plan if villain ships it into us?)
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Old 11-29-2015, 04:54 AM   #2
Garick
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Re: 2/3 QQ faces flop donk bet

Even though board seems pretty wet, I flat here. We block SDs, and JT/9T makes up a lot of his range, which is pretty unlikely to improve. This also lets us get away from another PSB OTT, which likely indicates sets.

Pot control this over-pair, imo.
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Old 11-29-2015, 04:57 AM   #3
bm303
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Re: 2/3 QQ faces flop donk bet

I would raise or call. Lean toward call and evaluate turn. You do block the massive draws with the Qs so if you were to raise and get 3-bet then I would really be concerned. Would a live player 3bet you all in with AJo?

In my limited experience live the donk bet here is usually a hand like TPGK.

Shoving a $260eff stack seems terrible.
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Old 11-29-2015, 05:11 AM   #4
AlienBoy
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Re: 2/3 QQ faces flop donk bet

Okay, we flat.

Turn is 2

Villain shoves. Hero?
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Old 11-29-2015, 05:14 AM   #5
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Re: 2/3 QQ faces flop donk bet

Quote:
Originally Posted by AlienBoy View Post
Okay, we flat.

Turn is 2

Villain shoves. Hero?
V just shoved $220 into a $90 pot? Fold if he's over 2x potting it OTT when you hold a blocker to the only draws that could take this line. Your looking at AJ at best. Maybe 8Tss. Possibly AA/KK too.
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Old 11-29-2015, 05:32 AM   #6
Garick
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Re: 2/3 QQ faces flop donk bet

Fold. His range is like sets, J9, and 8s9s, and you 11.36% equity. We need 41.5% equity, which means we'd have to give him all the combos of AJ (gets us to 42.27%). There is no way he always plays AJ like this.
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