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/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river / NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river

06-19-2016 , 06:02 AM
Context: $2/$3 NL, casino, Friday night. Villain recently sat down with $1000. Villain looks familiar, I think he is a reg. Hero is young guy on $615 stack. The table has been losing players rapidly. This hand had six players.

UTG limped, Villain limped, Hero is on BTN with A T , Hero raises to $18, both blinds fold, both limpers call.
Flop ($51): K 7 6
UTG and Villain check, Hero bets $45, UTG folds, Villain calls.
Turn ($141): K 7 6 3
Villain checks, Hero ?
Hero bets $100, Villain thinks for a bit and calls.
River ($341): K 7 6 3 K
Villain checks, Hero bets $_?
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 06:39 AM
Well I wouldn't bet turn.. Betting the flop gives you a good chance at seeing the river for free, which he would've let you. ap I would bet 100 again on the river for value, but only because it feels like he has a weak holding, kq or 8-9. By betting small he will probably reraise you with a smaller flush too.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 07:32 AM
best possible card, now overbet shove. Villain has to discount flush since you've bet the whole way, and there's a good chance he has trips.

If you think he can fold KQ or KJ to an overbet shove, then bet 290$
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 08:59 AM
I totally missed that the river was another king... Woah overbet forsure
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 12:07 PM
I too wouldn't be the turn just because if he has a king with a big kicker or two pair he'll never fold. However since the flush came I'd either shove or bet 1.5x pot.


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/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 12:35 PM
Can someone explain the logic behind over betting - mostly when we do it. Never really do it, just trying to understand why. Feel like most villains I play against can and would fold KQ and KJ and even AK here to a shove of $470 into $350.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 12:38 PM
I think betting or checking the turn can def be player dependent, but the 3s helps his range more than yours and I think you aren't ever getting top pair to fold. So, with not a lot of presumed FE and a chance to see a free river in position I think default I check here most times. As played, bomb the river because KX is a large portion of this range and he will often pay off.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 02:17 PM
if your villains can make a big fold when their hand improves on the river, then you should be able to bluff them consistently with overbets.

We overbet here because our line looks suspicious, and we believe opponent has just improved to something that many players would never fold.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 02:54 PM
No reason not to go big. He either has a king, hit his flush, or bricked out on the OESD. Either way, shove.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 06:08 PM
Thanks for the responses everyone.

Once he gets to river and then checks it seems like his range is narrow, KJ, KT, K9s, and 54s. He didn't seem like the kind of guy to fold trips here even for a big bet.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 06:20 PM
Bet/call

If he is likely to raise consider small sizes to induce, even though we lose to some boats we might get jammed on by weaker flushes, trips and pure bluffs
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-19-2016 , 07:24 PM
I agree his range is rather narrow - but I don't want to size a bet that gets the most frequent calls from that range, I want to target the few holdings that give him big hands.
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote
06-20-2016 , 01:33 PM
I'd probably raise more preflop to attempt to narrow this to HU after 2 limpers.

I'd probably just cbet 1/2 PSB. Villains are most likely simply continuing if they have something or not if they don't (including folding small pairs on this K high board), no need to make it more expensive for us, imo.

I typically check behind on the turn. The board didn't get scarier so we're basically just hoping to barrel him off a hand that we have no idea what it is or whether he'll fold it.

I'd probably shove the river. The board pairing sucks a little bit but you'd think we'd have heard from 2 pair+ on the turn on this drawy board. If he has a flush, he's never folding (although he's never raising either thanks to the paired board); if he has a Kx, he's unlikely to fold. And we probably can't fold either if he check/raises us. So just go for the gold and get it all in.

GimoG
/ NL, Hero semi-bluffing with NFD and hit it on river Quote

      
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