Villain can competently read ranges of others and adjust. He's a thinking player whose leaks seems to be loose-aggressive in pf play (raises about 1/4 of his hands) and post flop passiveness. However, we've had one hand where I 3bet one of his pf raises with AKdiamonds, trying to isolate after another call from a weaker player. He checked into me on a paired flop and two hearts. I bet ~55% of the pot and he came back with ~3x c/raise.

I have been c-betting 100% of the time up to this point as most of the time I actually did connect. After I folded the AK to villains c/raise, the table has seen me c-bet w/ top pair holdings that went to the river. PF perception; tight.

Hand:

Villain ~$300 in BB.

Hero ~$400 AA in EP. Raise $13

Villain calls, heads up OTFLOP:

$22 J5J

Villain checks, Hero bets $15, Villain calls

TURN:
$52 8

Villain checks... Hero?

I'm assuming that V thinks I'll bet three of a kind, 66+, and likely just A high. After the call, I'm thinking his holdings are similar. How often will villain continue with weaker holdings? What arguments are there for raising against what's assumed of the villain? I leaned towards checking and calling a river donk or betting a small amount in case he checked a lower pair. What do you think of that strategy?

I like your strategy. I think checking back is fine, and given your perception of villain you're much more likely to face a turn raise or fold than call. if you feel really confident and like he'll bluff off to you, you could consider b/c turn and c/c river to bluff catch, but you need to be really sure. in general pot control is fine here.

Either bet 35/fold to a decent raise, or check and call any river.

I like then plan to check the turn, call a river donk. I'd bet a little bigger OTF though. You bet half pot; you'll get called by a lot of rogue holdings on this paired board including just two overs so charge a bit more, maybe 25.
If turn goes check check, you're setting yourself up to call all rivers. If he checks the river, you can go for value, maybe half pot.

From villains perspective this is an easy float, this is a hard flop to connect with and he expects you to cbet your entire range here. He probably figures you check any turn and so he should be motivated to bet this turn if he has a J. Check back on turn to keep hands like 88 in and put out a decent value bet otr. Call if he bets the scare card. Easy game wp

I would bet 35-40. You may fold to a big raise but you have to try to get value from villan here.

I agree he may have a similar holding (pair, big A) and may call turn bet with that.

If you bet and he calls, check river, I may check back.

Given V rarely makes a mistake if we bet, I check.

And I don't check often.

Considering his passive play post flop, I would triple barrel for value here hoping he has a pp with showdown value.

Kinda surprised that a mere $13 raise got this HU. But it did, plus a nice 10+ SPR which can set us up for bet/folding 3 streets plan, plus we somehow ended up in position; nice.

With this SPR, my typical plan would be to bet/fold 3 postflop streets. If this villain was at all aggro, I would probably check back the flop because I really don't want to start putting ourselves in a position where we can play for stacks, and yet at the same time I don't feel comfortable folding to a check/raise. However, if he's more on the passive side, I would probably just bet/fold 3 streets as he might call down light knowing that (a) we cbet all the time and (b) wouldn't a real hand actually check a street at one point being afraid of the J.

So I like the flop bet.

And I would continue betting on the turn. Again, with this high SPR, we have the room to bet/fold. If the SPR was much lower (say in 6-9 range), then I would be much more for checking back the turn because one more bet could commit us to the pot.

GcluelessNLnoobG