2/3 full of weak ABC regs, except villain...
Folds to hero in CO w ~$335. 6
6
, bets $15.
Villain on BTN covers. Calls.
reads: Aggressive reg, mathematically illiterate. Takes shots at all weakness. Bluffs regularly. Been fairly tight the past 2hrs or so. Maybe around 25/5 pf, which is probably the biggest leak in his game. Good post flop skills, save for the propensity to bluff and semi-bluff. Probably puts me on a range of Ax, broadways, and PP. Likely to call w/ similar + all sorts of s.c and gappers. Knows I'm likely to c-bet, not sure if he realizes that's positional
SB, goes AI for $17, BB folds to hero. (been waiting for this guy to bust out for position on V)
Flop $49 after rake. 10
2
4
Hero checks. V bets $40. Hero calls.
Sizing tell + board texture said air. Please critique. I feel like most c-bets will fold anything we beat, and then we have to compete with sb, with no more action available. Don't feel comfortable with a c/r, but perhaps this might have been the best move considering FE vs him having AT+, but then the main pot will still be decided by SB who's range here is likely face cards,pp,& AT/KT/QT/JT/TT.
Turn $129 10
2
4
8
check, check
River $129 10
2
4
8
7
Didn't like that river, but we've got two 6's plus a
. That's gotta block SD other than J9 and leaves one less out for a flush.
Hero checks, V bets $100. Line seems consistent with previous bluff, but I see him doing this with hands that now beat us, even things like 8x,7x.
Advice on all streets appreciated.