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2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. 2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty.

05-11-2016 , 10:07 PM
2/3 full of weak ABC regs, except villain...


Folds to hero in CO w ~$335. 66, bets $15.

Villain on BTN covers. Calls.

reads: Aggressive reg, mathematically illiterate. Takes shots at all weakness. Bluffs regularly. Been fairly tight the past 2hrs or so. Maybe around 25/5 pf, which is probably the biggest leak in his game. Good post flop skills, save for the propensity to bluff and semi-bluff. Probably puts me on a range of Ax, broadways, and PP. Likely to call w/ similar + all sorts of s.c and gappers. Knows I'm likely to c-bet, not sure if he realizes that's positional

SB, goes AI for $17, BB folds to hero. (been waiting for this guy to bust out for position on V)

Flop $49 after rake. 1024

Hero checks. V bets $40. Hero calls. Sizing tell + board texture said air. Please critique. I feel like most c-bets will fold anything we beat, and then we have to compete with sb, with no more action available. Don't feel comfortable with a c/r, but perhaps this might have been the best move considering FE vs him having AT+, but then the main pot will still be decided by SB who's range here is likely face cards,pp,& AT/KT/QT/JT/TT.


Turn $129 10248

check, check

River
$129 102487

Didn't like that river, but we've got two 6's plus a . That's gotta block SD other than J9 and leaves one less out for a flush.

Hero checks, V bets $100. Line seems consistent with previous bluff, but I see him doing this with hands that now beat us, even things like 8x,7x.

Advice on all streets appreciated.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote
05-11-2016 , 10:20 PM
First of all, make sure you try to seat change as soon as possible to get this guy on your right, as you don't want him on your direct left.

I'd probably just bet ~1/2 pot OTF to try and get BTN to fold his equity. If I did check, it would be to c/f vs. this sizing. In a protected pot (with SB all-in), there's really no incentive for V to bluff here. Your hand also can't really improve.

OTR, there's a little more incentive for V to bluff, since there's now $80 in the side pot, but I still don't think he's bluffing often enough to call here. He can easily have a bunch of TdXd hands that checked back turn, as well as other combos of diamonds that he bet flop with. He can also have some combos of J9/69/56 (even though you block the latter two), and 77 as well. Remember that even when we're good vs. V, we don't get 100% of the pot as SB will have us beat fairly often for the ~$50 main pot. I'm folding here.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote
05-12-2016 , 08:01 AM
I would either c-bet flop or check/fold. If villain is likely to call flop c-bet with anything I'm would favor the check/fold. It is a protected pot and hero is never going to be far ahead. Putting any more money in this pot is likely investing a lot to win a little.

As played, I would fold on river. Too much chance your losing to a weak made hand and too much chance your losing the main pot even if you do win the side pot.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote
05-12-2016 , 08:27 AM
I think with one over on such a dry board this is a clear cbet to take it down. As played fold flop and river.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote
05-12-2016 , 09:08 AM
Grunch...

How long have you been playing with V? Are these reads from one session, or a longer history? If there's a history, how much of a leveling game is there between you?

I think I am betting this flop a majority of the time. Unless you're specifically looking for him to bluff, our holding is very weak. We don't want to get in a situation, OOP, where we have no clue what V is holding. Based on your description, his range is pretty wide here. Even if he bluffs the flop, there's a ton of turn cards that could hit his range and give him a hand that beats 66. I really hate not c-betting here. How comfortable are you calling 3 bets with this hand? I don't think I call the flop out of position.

Check is fine on the turn.

On the river, I'm calling unless there is some serious history with this V. Too many of his bluffs are beating us at this point, and as you said he's been playing tighter.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote
05-12-2016 , 10:13 AM
I probably c-bet, but I don't mind the check. Call is OK if he's really bluffy. Check turn is good.

As played, I probably just let him have it, but I don't mind a call if you really think he's bluffing and 66 is good.

I might just bet river half pot -- yes, he'll fold his worse and call with better, but it sets the price, and he might fold a 7 or 8. Bluffy bad players aren't raising this river with a hand worse than 66.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote
05-12-2016 , 12:57 PM
This flop very likely missed villain. I'd take a stab at it and bet about $30. This would be a one and done bet for me. The pot is protected with the blind all-in. I wouldn't go crazy and barrel multiple streets.

As played, I'd fold to villain's flop bet. You don't have much chance of improving and could be well behind. At best, you're about a 75% favorite against V and at worst you have two outs to improve. Not worth it. I would definitely not c/r because you basically commit yourself. Villain's bet should be given more respect because he still has to showdown to the blind. I'm also folding the river.
2/3: mangled mid-pair vs known bluffer & AI shorty. Quote

      
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