Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
Will villain ck/rs it here with KJ/KQ/9T/98?
If he will with all of those, then shove.
If he won't, then it's likely a fold.
Pot has $300 before we act again, we have $300 behind, and if we shove, V will have to call $200 more into $600 so he shouldn't be folding any part of his range at all getting 3:1.
Against a pretty decent range of ~1/2 the possible sets, all the suited flopped straights, a bunch of pair+straight draw combos, all suited two pair combos, ~1/2 the unsited two pair combos, TT and no pure bluffs we have ~43% equity. If he ever folds any of these, then our expectation goes up.
Board: Qd Jc 9h
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.764% 43.25% 00.52% 202941 2427.00 { AA }
Hand 1: 56.236% 55.72% 00.52% 261465 2427.00 { QhQs, JcJs, JdJh, JdJs, JhJs, TT-99, KTs+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 98s, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs, KdQh, KdQs, KhQs, QTo+, JTo, Tc9d, Tc9h, Tc9s, Td9h, Td9s, Th9s }
I'm shoving most likely.