Quote:
Originally Posted by Percula
Ya call you are getting like 6:1 and if you hit your flush or two pair you are likely in good shape.
I'm on the fence about this one. I need to be convinced that a good flop appears often enough for us to pay 10% of stack.
"good" outcomes (you win the pot+probably more):
flush: ~1% (probably not going to stack someone without them having a smaller flush or pair+fd or set)
trip 4s: ~1.5% (potential to stack an overpair)
two pair: 2% (potential to get counterfeited)
straight (2,3,5): <1% (fairly negligible)
"decent" outcomes:
trip As: ~1.5% (not getting much action and if we do that could be a bad sign)
flush draw: 11% (can put in money with 35-50% equity; has limited FE due to pot size)
top pair: ~13% (could be trouble...could earn or lose 1/3 stack)