Quote:
Originally Posted by jshah
Unlikely that V2 shoves here with 7s full. I think we can rule that out. Maybe he has a 4 but also very unlikely. 45 suited is the only hand I can think of, and I block 34 suited and A4 suited.
LOL, agree we can rule out his boat.
Maybe it's better for analytical purposes to divide this into side-pot math and main pot HU vs. V2. You need to call 530 total, so you need 531 lol of equity.
On side pot: let's assume the worst and that you have 8 outs twice, so you're 18% to win 450, so equity is 81. This flop smashes BB range so he likely has 4x and the xs boats him up. V2 is wider but let's assume your flush would be good.
Main pot: 940 HU vs. V2 range. Since he flatted pre, I think we can rule out V2 having an overpair.
You were uncapped until you flatted the shorty's jam. When you did this, V2 figures you have no overpair and he can swing away. He can show up with everything from 7x, mid-pair, small FD, straight draw,77 and the case 4x.
You need 450 of equity, or be basically even money, against his range, to make this call. 4x: 18% 7x :38%. A7: 18% Mid-pair:40%. Small FD:98%. Straight draw 65:78%, 77:0%.
I think it's pretty close but I can fold a fold here especially since you have all the NFDs. His range has to be tilted toward 4x and 7x and mid-pairs. Unless he's a cowboy, I can find a fold.
Last edited by Spanishmoon; 05-20-2019 at 05:06 PM.
Reason: spelling