Note: Please format per this forum sticky:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/17...-asap-1031043/
PF: Eff. stack is $390. PF is good.
F (45): SPR is ~9. $30 cbet is fine.
T (105): A bet is fine, although I would have liked to see something smaller; I think this size ~pot size bet pretty much turns your hand face up. After his call what does his range look like? AA, QQ, AQ, KQ, QJ, QT, AhXh, 66, Ax3x, 4x5x. I really can't think of what else he could possibly call you with on this turn and for that price. Eff has $250 left; 36% of the eff stack in the pot.
R (285): Any bet from you is targeting his AQ, KQ, and QJ. I don't think we can take a B/F line because say we bet $100 we've put in 2/3 of the effective stack, and shouldn't be folding.
The arm twitch shouldn't mean anything to you. He's not shoving here with just a queen. Pretty polarized bet. I guess I'm folding.
Edit after reading posts: I don't understand why we would shove the river. I just don't think that we can get three streets of value against QX. If we think that he has KQ, then shoving gives him the opportunity to fold because he may think we have AQ or have what we do have which is an overpair.
Last edited by Below Zero; 01-11-2016 at 01:18 PM.