Quote:
Originally Posted by c0rnBr34d
Has V shown down after overbetting before? This type of V could want to jam any two pair hand so J8, 58, 78, A8 are all in range. Does he ever raise pre? If he has a pre flop raising range it pretty much eliminates AA, JJ, AJ. I can't believe this guy would check a set OTT. I think his value range against our hand is extremely small here. 69 and 64 are in play as he is limping pretty much 100% and betting a lot of flops. If V is spazzing with smaller 2 pair here I bluff catch but if he understands our raise here means 2 pair+ and doesn't spaz then a fold is fine. After 4 hours I think we should be able to make this read.
V has not overbet yet. He's called overbets with the middle of his range and bets most flops with his entire range.
Reasons for folding: V has not bet/3bet the river in 4 hrs of play. V also perceives me as Tight so when I raise to $75, it's obvious I'm only doing this with 2pair+. I won't have too many natural bluffs on an Ace high Rainbow board and I expect V to just call if he has worse.
Reasons for calling: The raise doesn't make too much sense as I think he would call with most of his 2 pair and worse hands. I also think he bets all 2 pairs and sets on the turn to build a pot. That puts him on specifically a straight or air here.