1/3 underground game.
Villain (400) is a thinking player but not much of a hand reader. Loose preflop and sometimes makes loose calls post flop. Can bluff. Just won a high hand bonus so is in a good mood.
Hero (400) is considered a good player at this game. Haven't shown down much but won a couple pots without showdown. Mostly raising or overlimping. Am known to be aggressive and capable of bluffing.
Hero is in CO with AJo villain is the button.
Folds to hero who opens to 15 and villain calls. Blinds fold.
Villain is very wide here. He is calling with most suited connectors, suited one gappers , any Ax suited, j9o + 22-99 and is probably capped at AQs . everything else I expect him to 3b.
Flop (30) J
3
7
Hero bets 25 . villain calls.
Villains range is all diamond draws. All his Jacks except maybe AJ or KJ which he may raise on this wet board. Possibly a 7 as well he would call with . I expect all sets to raise as well .
Turn (80) A
Hero ?
If we bet we get called/raised by flushes. We may get a call from a jack with a queen or king of diamonds and A7. Other than that I expect villain to fold everything we beat.
If we check we can get villain to bluff at it, bet his flush, or pair and flush draw. Also he might bet with the unlikely A7 or AJ.
What do we do ?
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