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1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish 1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish

10-27-2014 , 07:53 PM
V ($225): Middle-aged, fishy guy, has been minraising every hand, plays a lot of junk.

Hero ($300+): Probably viewed as tight by V.

V raises to $6 in MP, Hero calls KQo in LP, BB r/r to $12 (lol), V calls, Hero calls

Flop ($36): KQ9r
V checks, Hero bets $20, BB folds, V c/r to $50, Hero ???

I'm sure V is never bluffing here, also, he raises bigger with KK/QQ/99 pre, but JT makes sense here, but also does KQ/K9/Q9. What are Hero's options?
1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish Quote
10-27-2014 , 08:02 PM
if he's min raising every hand, I think KQ is value 3bet here.
lol at BB, but I see this at least 10 times in a night.
Tough spot. He could value his K9/Q9 here same way as JT/KK/QQ/99.
Hard to let go OTF, but if I peel turn, I am folding to a lot of bets then.
1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish Quote
10-27-2014 , 08:02 PM
I wouldn't 3 bet here.

Folding requires a super read but not unheard of. If you think his range here is Q9/K9/JT/KQ

Board: Kc Qh 9d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.897% 42.11% 06.78% 13342 2148.50 { KsQs }
Hand 1: 51.103% 44.32% 06.78% 14041 2148.50 { KQs, K9s, Q9s, JTs, KQo, K9o, Q9o, JTo }

On a blank turn, it'd be like:

Board: Kc Qh 9d 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.591% 40.34% 06.25% 568 88.00 { KsQs }
Hand 1: 53.409% 47.16% 06.25% 664 88.00 { KQs, K9s, Q9s, JTs, KQo, K9o, Q9o, JTo }

So yeah, I'd call down.
1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish Quote
10-27-2014 , 08:24 PM
If we're deeper (100 BB or more), are we still calling down?
1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish Quote
10-27-2014 , 08:33 PM
Math says yes. Hard to answer a question with a number of variables. Usually the board doesn't run out perfect where villain puts us in an awkward spot.
1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish Quote
10-27-2014 , 11:09 PM
We should include 99 in our ranging imo.
Past that, follow the math.

Probably calling down to the river.
1/3: Top two facing c/r otf from shortstack fish Quote

      
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