Quote:
Originally Posted by shorn7
If this is what you think, then I don't know what to tell you either.
As I alluded to above, V's range to a raise of any size is exclusively sets or flush draws here, right?
His sets are going to GII regardless of whether we make it $250 or jam, right?
So since that portion of the decision tree is irrelevant, we target his flush draws.
Our options here are: (1) jam and let an OMC (correctly) fold a flush draw for $380 to potentially win $810 - which would be correct for him to do since he has only 25% equity; or (2) give him the chance to call $150 more into a pot of $580 to chase one of his 8 clean outs - which would be a mistake to call since he has only a 17% chance of hitting the turn.
I've yet to hear an explanation as to why (1) is better than (2).