Villain (BB): MAWG, loose pre, has been folding to hero quite a bit ($600)
Hero (UTG): late 20s Asian, winning TAG image (covers)
Hero opens $15 UTG with K
K
. Only villain calls in BB.
Flop: K
8
6
($28)
Checked to hero. Hero bets $20. Villain calls.
Turn: 5
($66)
Checked to hero. Hero bets $45. Villain calls.
River: 4
($156)
Checked to hero. Villain says "I was going for the high hand man. I'll show you" (there's a promo for quads). I don't think he's lying. I'm like 99% sure he has a set and wants to see a showdown but doesn't feel comfortable with the potential flush and straight (not that I have a lot of 7x UTG but he's probably not thinking on that level). He's not seeing that showdown for free. What do you guys think is a good amount for max value? Pot it? Overbet? I think there's a theorem that says some villains will never fold for any amount a strong hand unless there's like a four flush or four straight.