Quote:
Originally Posted by twitcherroo
Don’t assume V had 22 just because he said he had 22. You showed AK so he claimed to exactly the next hand higher in strength to allow you to validate the fold. I’m not saying he did or didn’t have 22, i’m Saying him reporting that he had 22 wouldn’t sway my thoughts on what he had.
All of that being said i’m Raising turn 100% of the time. If he has 22 f him, i’ll Pay him off. I have a ton of equity against nearly every hand. Playing this so softly is a license to steal for a ‘talented aggressive’ player. I’d have called the river and expect to be good.
raising turn is bad, your in positon and hes doing the betting for you. there are also almost no draws that you need to charge... your either way ahead or way behind. Just call turn and raise river if you want to to raise.
overfolding big river raises like this one is money printing at these stakes. Villians line suggest the exact hand he claimed to have, and raising worse for value doesn't make sense. The other reason we want to fold is because its very dfficult for villian to hve any semi bluffs in his range at all, so he would have just needed to be doing this bluff with a hand that has almost no equity. Heros range has lots of aces, its a really bad spot to go crazy with a random suited connector. finally, the fact that so many players wouldn't fold at these stakes (and also that he check/raised river, offering you a showdown offers a form of protection to hero. Villian doen't know hero that well, and against eh majority of 1/3 players trying to bluff them off top trips with a good kicker is an EV disaster. Villian would need to be exceoptionally talented with a really good understanding of heros game to make this play, and giving him that much credit is definitely not something you should do to someone who you say make two good plays in your first session with him
this is a clear fold on river
you are rght tho that hero is overfolding in this spot. Overfolding in spots like this is highly advisable at low stkes live, but in GTO this would be a call its theoretically wrong to fold here assuming villian has complete knowledge of your game because it can be exploited
Last edited by TheSamasaurus; 02-08-2019 at 12:43 PM.