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1-3 River Decision with JJ 1-3 River Decision with JJ

04-23-2017 , 12:04 PM
1-3 game, but 90% of hands have a straddle going.

Hero ($330, Small Blind): Mid 20s WG. Probably seems like solid player, but I've been at the table for less than an hour and it appears that most of the table has been playing together for a while. Won one decent pot earlier and ran it up to a little over a $400 stack, but lost some two hands ago to V when he binked two pair on river with K-10 after calling two 1/2-2/3 pot bets by me with KQ on a K-9-5-4-10 rainbow board. Checked through on river.

Villain ($450, Straddle UTG): MAWG. Only history I have is the previous hand. Seems ok, but seems like just a calling station that's been running good. I haven't seen any real aggression from him, or him making any moves.

OTTH:

V is UTG and straddles to $6, one limper, and Hero is in SB with JJ and makes it $30. V calls, limper folds, and it's two in the hand.

Flop ($70): 775

Hero bets $40, V calls.

Turn ($150): 9

Hero bets $75, V thinks for like 10 seconds and calls.

River ($300): 8

Hero has like ~$190 left.

Hero??
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-23-2017 , 12:12 PM
Check/fold to any bet over $75

MAWG not the type to turn a missed flush draw into a bluff, nor would he value bet a hand that we beat.
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-23-2017 , 12:14 PM
Pretty clear check at the river when the 4-liner to the straight got there. Hard to get called by worse at this point, and after the big preflopraise you dont really have any 6x in your range either so your pretty capped to a big overpair at this point anyway.

Due to your description i expect him to play the river pretty honest against us- checking his showdown value and bombing his straight/full boat combos.
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-23-2017 , 12:17 PM
Probably a check/fold given description and hope it goes to show down. Villain checked back 2 pair on K-9-5-4-10 rainbow board and hasn't shown aggression or moves. I'm ranging him on some kind of 7x suited, 66, or 6x, 88, 99 if he bets/jams. He'll check behind his pair kind of hands like 89 and not turn his hand into a bluff. So, what is the chance villain will bluff missed flushes here? I think pretty low given his image.
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-24-2017 , 01:59 AM
It is a strange situation. I think that the only strong hands that he would not raise the turn with, on such a draw heavy board, are 77,55,99. So it is hard to put him on a straight type hand here - except maybe a very passively played A6c,A6d. His range is rather polarised between full houses+quads and missed clubs and diamond draws. Against the standard client I would c/c a high percentage of the times to let him bluff his missed FDs. If you are confident that he's not the type to take a stab with a MFD then I guess you just c/f the river.

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1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-24-2017 , 02:29 AM
I'd check, and likely call villain if he bets.
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-24-2017 , 04:07 AM
i like to check and re evaluate. Id lean call but could go either way. check forsure though.
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote
04-24-2017 , 12:15 PM
I would have made it slightly more preflop ($35) to setup just that easier a stack off situation postflop if we don't flop horrible, but whatever.

SPR is 4ish, board is somewhat drawy, and we're up against a calling station. I want to do this in two streets, so I'd slightly overbet the flop to $80 to setup a shove of $220 into $230 on the turn.

Our betsizing looks like we're cool with this going 3 streets, but I think board is too drawy for that. Also, by the time the river comes, a lot of times we can visualize a lotta better hands that could have called us down and end up freezing up in gross spots (like we did here). If board is bone dry, I'm cool with 3 streets of betting in SPR ~4 pots; otherwise, get it done in 2 streets, imo.

GcluelessNLnoobG
1-3 River Decision with JJ Quote

      
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