Quote:
Originally Posted by Proper Villain
This seems to be a missed opportunity, especially given the nature of the game you described. Thinking about our opponents ranges, it seems you're crushing almost everything and should be happy getting it in here.
FYI I ran this hand through Poker Cruncher to see what kind of equity we'd have in this hand. Thinking about what reasonable holdings our opponents can have (that they wouldn't raise preflop), I assigned the following ranges:
22s-99s
A2s-A9s and A2o-A9o
KTs-K2s and KTo-K8o
QJs-Q7s and QJo-Q8o
All suited and unsuited connectors
All suited and unsuited one-gappers
This is a pretty wide range that amounts to 44.3% of hands. Against 3 other players playing this range, we have 70.5% equity here on the flop. If we're heads-up, our equity jumps to 87.9%. I'm really comfortable betting this hand very strongly.
I mean, yeah, we have an obvious equity advantage against the range of hands that we're seeing a flop with, no doubt. Furthermore, we also have an equity advantage against the range of hands that are willing to call bets (and perhaps even raise), no doubt.
But one thing that should not be lost in the math is what our equity is against hands that are willing to, for example, get in $300 stacks into a $12 pot on the flop. Against certain opponents, our equity in that case will be slim (drawing to our A outs) to virtually none (drawing to running AA).
Gitdepends,imoG