Almost forgot to post results.
Quote:
Originally Posted by reaper6788
Both these rivers worse does not call a big bet because we've put ourselves in a tough spot by forcing villains' range to narrow down to his stronger holdings. So can we bluff profitably?
H1 I think we can get better to fold because he just called a turn bet rather than bet/called and the K of flush making is scary enough.
H2 this is the brick of the century and he called a turn raise, time to roll over as he has every reason to call.
Btw OP thanks for posting these hands. The constant flood of "AA/KK facing a raise!" threads gets old.
H1 I'm targetting specifically 99-JJ as I don't think he has Qx+ cause he probably just bets them.
H2 meh. I feel like it's close. My sizing was definitely bad though. I just don't think he's strong but once he calls it's probably Qx that won't fold.
I've actually been posting hands that are very specific and never come up so not so important. These hands I feel like are very important because H1 is about taking showdown value or equity denial/denying villain the chance to bluff river and on the river just straight up bluffing. And it's a spot that comes up quite a bit. H2 also comes up quite a bit.
Quote:
Originally Posted by browni3141
H1 I don't like your reasoning for a large size. You're wasting your SDV by turning 88 into a bluff if your plan is to pressure JJ-99, which is a pretty narrow range to target anyway and I would not expect those hands to fold to a single non-overbet. You can definitely still get value with a smaller sizing and frequently win at showdown.
On the river you're still targeting a very narrow range. Qx is very unlikely to fold. You mostly just fold worse. Take your showdown.
H2 shove river. It doesn't matter if we're repping thin. It's not like we take this line often as a bluff. Give-up with non-nut hearts you chose to raise on the turn, especially if you have showdown value.
H1 I'm not trying to get value. I know that if I get called I'm toast. It's more about denying villain equity/the chance to bluff me off on the river. When he calls I either have to bluff the river or give up.
H2 like I said it's close. Once I raise turn to less than $60 I feel like shoving is just risking too much to win less and doesn't necessarily generate more fold equity. The main problem is I don't rep much. If this was heads up I easily triple barrel and the river is probably a shove given starting stacks.
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RESULTS
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H1
Villain (CO): 30 ish white guy, wearing shades and recently somehow raised preflop and bet flop/bet turn/called a river donk shove, got shown top pair no kicker and mucked
($300)
Hero (BTN): late 20s Asian guy, just sat an orbit ago, raised preflop once and check/folded flop ($300)
MP opens $12. Villain calls in CO. Hero calls on BTN with 8
8
. SB calls.
Flop: Q
Q
5
($44)
MP checks. Villain bets $20. Only hero calls.
Turn: 7
($84)
Villain checks. Hero bets $55. Villain calls.
River: K
($194)
Villain says "check". Hero bets $110. Villain folds.
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H2 (different table)
Villain (MP): MAWG, just sat ($200)
Hero (BTN): late 20s Asian guy, no image to villain (covers)
Villain limps in MP. Hero makes it $15 on the BTN with A
9
. BB and villain call.
Flop: Q
8
7
($40)
Checked around.
Turn: 2
($40)
BB checks. Villain says "let's match the preflop raise" and bets $15. Hero makes it $45. Villain calls.
River: 3
($129)
Villain checks blind. Hero bets $80. Villain snap calls and shows AQ no heart.
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H1 not surprised. Even a hand like QT isn't gonna be thrilled with that action. And might even fold. The most important part of this hand was the turn though. I think the old school way is to take showdown value. But I feel like when people have unbalanced and weak turn checking ranges, you can just get away with more bluffing/equity denial.
H2 quite surprised. I thought the very top of his range was KQ. Maybe I could raise a scarier heart like one that fills some straights/two pairs, not the brick of all hearts. So in this case (trying not to be results oriented), flat turn, bomb or bluff raise a scary river and give up on a brick like this one is probably the correct play.