Quote:
Originally Posted by fizzypants
Can you explain how the IO are 5:1? I'm calling $100 to win $170 + his $100 turn bet + his $150 river call (most probably) = $420, so I'm getting 4.2:1 implied odds right?
Also, I have 15 outs OTR which is 15/46 = 32% or 3:1 so how do I need 2:1?
Sorry, maybe my math sucks
Yes, your implied odds are 4.2:1, and given the strength he is showing you can pretty much assume he'll stack off the vast majority of the time (so perhaps downgrade your implied odds to like 4:1 which will take into account the few times he folds, or the times he has a better flush draw than ours and we both get there).
I use the "rule of 2 and 4" to estimate our percentage, which is multiplying our number of outs by 2 with 1 card to come (or by 4 with 2 cards to come). So a decent estimate here is 15 * 2 = 30%. Keep in mind that 2:1 is 33% (3:1 is 25%, 4:1 is 20%, etc.), so it looks like you are off a bit when converting percentages into ratios. Since our implied odds are around 4:1, we have an easy call (*if* we can assume the players behind us aren't going to ship it).
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