Full Ring/ $275 eff

V1 has been gambling all night. Has called top set down with nothing multiple times on an extremely wet board. He has also shown up a couple times at showdown with sets and top two pair. At a LAP table, villian is extremely aggressive preflop when he has a decent hand. I have seen him 3 bet A5s from MP2. About ten hands prior he won the mini bad beat for $1K as his flopped set full house was taken down but Quad Kings. Generally, villain has played erratically all night.

V1 straddles to $15 on the BTN. 3 callers. I look down at QJ. I opt to flat, as I think a 3 bet needs to be in the $60 - $90 range and I don't want to start building a significant pot with QJ suited at the effective stacks.

V1 checks.

Flop comes (pot ~$80). QJ6. Action checks around to me. I lead out for $55.

At this point, V1 goes all in and action folds around to me. I think this is an easy call. I think villian is raising AA-77, AKs-A8s, and TJ suited connectors and above preflop. Small chance he has a 66 in his hand, but most likely diamond draws or AJ, AQ.

I opt to call.

Turn and River run out. 62.

He flips over J6 and scoops the pot.

Couple questions -

1) Raising pre-flop seems like the correct call here but wanted to here the forums take?

2) Opinions on villians potential range OTF?

BBV is that way >>>>>

Seriously though, you played it perfectly. Just super unlucky.

1) 3b is spew without reads. Call.

2) SDs, FDs, 2p, sets, TPTK, etc.

villains range is too wide. he could show up with sets or high pocket pair or like you said, a draw. you played it well. other players would raise to 60-90 pre but the way V is playing, he might have called to defend his straddle anyway

Vs range is at worst overpair+ and you still have him crushed.

Yes call pre is fine.

I fold preflop. I'm guessing there's a decent chance this guy raises his Button straddle so we'll have to fold. We'll also be OOP to him postflop (we might want to consider a seat change). With these short of stacks, calling $15 preflop is a little meh, especially when we don't have the nut flush draw, especially if any of the other limpers have a clue. It's definitely on the nitty side; I used to think flatting here was probably ok, but now I'm not as convinced of that (unless the limpers are *really* bad).

SPR is 3ish on the flop and the board is super coordinated. We should absolutely be aiming to get this hand over with by the turn, so I'd PSB it to setup a turn shove. Know what calls $55 and not $80 on this board? Pretty much nothing, so bet bigger, imo.

Snap fist pump call to the all in. He should never have QQ/JJ due to not raising preflop / unlikely due to combos, so we're basically only behind 66 and doing well against everything else (including megadraws, a lot of which he woulda raised preflop). We're destroying his range here.

Pump fists with him and easy rebuy, imo.

GcluelessNLnoobG

Nh. Perfectly played. Good bet sizing on the flop, its really not that wet. Keep other players in. Things like this just happen, you were destined to lose that hand against this manic Villain.

Two consecutive broadway cards and a flush draw isn't that wet?

This bet size also leaves us with $205 in what would be a $190 pot HU. What's our betsizing plan then?

GcluelessNLnoobG

He just got lucky. Played perfectly. If you 3bet, SPR ratio gets way diminished and you lose leverage and capacity to get more info. What if you flop top pair and he gets it in? Here, this way, you leave him with 3 outs and most of money getting in when you're WAY ahead. Like even more ahead than QJ vs J6. And that's tough


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Sorry about the beat but not a real strategy post...

1. PF I personally mix it up. If I have been looking for a spot to raise more (you are raising a straddle not a PF open) to widen that range this isn't terrible and I'll do it some. Sometimes if I'll just flat with an ok multiway hand and just play it carefully


2. Villains exact range is irrelevant here, too early to tell much other than you are WAY WAY WAY ahead of it

It would have been much worse if the flop was like Broadway(suited), Broadway(suited), 9x. I have seen wetter boards, that combined with Villain Spew-ness, means we are not going anywhere. Flopping top two, we are just so far ahead... With that being said I think both a call or a raise are favorable here. If we 3bet, I would like to make it in the $50/$60 range. Based on history Villain has a lot of Ax and is quite erratic. I like the call because of the implied odds. Merrit's to 3betting, isolate the spew villain, and we are OOP.

Folding pre is so bad.

I may have thought this at one point too; I don't any more. If the limpers are just as bad as the Villain, yeah, fine. If not, meh, folding isn't horrible.

Gpreflopis100%opponent/tabledependent,imoG