1/3 blinds game in Los Angeles.
Villain is a young Asian woman (30-ish). She is a solid regular/pro. Beauty and brains? She's both. Dangerous. Today she's been running hot (a few hours earlier she flopped three sets in a row). She does not slow play, betting and raising big hands including sets on the flop.
I can think of two ways to play against her:
1) fold whenever she's in a hand.
2) make really Big hands against her.
In the past I've never been able to outplay her, though I think it's possible, hence the hand I am posting.
In this hand we are 6 handed.
Most stacks on the table are 300 to 500. Hero in the HJ has $1100, and villain in the SB has $1400.
Hero is dealt 6
7
in the HJ.
UTG folds, hero
opens to 12. CO calls, BTN folds, SB villain
raises to 30, BB folds, hero calls, others fold. HU to the flop.
Pot: 70
Flop: K
8
5
Villain bets 40, hero calls.
Pot: 150
Turn: J
Villain bets 110. Hero calls. - here is the first question: I considered raising to 240 to take control and also set up a river bluff should we miss. However, I consider KK and possibly even JJ in her range here, along with the obvious AA. Obviously, we have zero fold equity against a set, LOL. So I just called.
Pot: 370
River: Q
Villain checks. Do we bluff here or surrender? I don't believe she ever checks a set here, and so now her range is polarized to AA and a much less likely AK (she would probably not raise to 30 PF with AK OOP).
Do we bluff, and if so how much?
If surrender is the best play, explain.
Thoughts on the turn play also encouraged.
Side note on ME: I feel that I am screwing up my turn and river play in a number of hands recently. I've been thinking I need to play the river more aggressively, and make fewer turn mistakes.