Game with typical loose/passive preflop action. Lots of limping and calling.
Villain sat down 45 minutes ago. My read is that he's a typical bad player at this level: way too wide preflop and with obvious bet sizing tells. In the past 45 minutes I have been involved in just two hands: I showed down QQ both times.
Hero has $600 and Villain covers.
OTTH: UTG and HJ limp. Hero raises to 25 in CO with Q
J
(I like to open slightly larger in late position, normally to 20 plus 3 per limper)
SB,BB,UTG,HJ all call.
5-ways to the flop ($125): 9
4
3
Checks to me. With the backdoor flush draw, normally I c-bet here 3-ways, but 5-ways feels too ambitious. I check.
Turn ($125): Q
SB checks, BB bets 50, UTG and HJ fold, Hero calls, SB folds.
River ($225): 8
Villain checks. Hero?
On any non-8 river I would feel comfortable betting the river when checked to with QJ (whereas I would check back QT). The 8 completes the straight (making it more likely V may check back a hand like QK) and eliminates all the combos of Q8o/s from Villain's range. Can we still go for thin value, and if so, with what sizing?
Last edited by aisrael01; 03-21-2019 at 08:15 AM.