Quote:
Originally Posted by sixsevenoff
You've made very strong points that have made me change my mind on what's the best action here.
Would you be more likely to x back flop or bet-fold vs a better opponent?
I'm very likely betting. I think the main thing remains that we don't like the runouts, so we're trying to terminate the hand early if possible. Obviously the downside is that we're bloating the pot, so it depends a lot on what sort of better they are -- if they're always going to show you the goods when they c/r, obviously fold to the c/r!
If they've got a nice mix of bluffs including check/call/donk lines on scare cards, then and only then could I be swayed into checking here, but checking here is turning your hand that I feel like should have around 55-60% equity against even a good V's continuing range into a hand that has like 25-30% equity, because if they bet a non-89TJ you're folding on the turn. You also may fold if the 89TJ is a heart. I don't think a V this challenging shows up at LLSNL too frequently, so you've got that going for you, which is nice!
So that all stinks -- me personally in game, I'd probably just c-bet here because I think it reduces the game a bit -- it makes it likelier that kings and queens become okay cards for us. If any 8 through K including hearts is a fine card, then we've got half the deck again, which not only means the turns don't suck, but the rivers are better too, so we can check behind the turn hopefully and now you've gotten to see the runout, I think on a runout like Q-3 you can maybe even call a 1/2 PSB on the river as a bluffcatcher against A6 of hearts or whatever.