Quote:
Originally Posted by Imjustrunningbad
I folded… what do you guys think of this?
Honestly he dead stared me in the eyes and said I’m all In so confidently.
I thought he could easily have Q10
It just seemed so odd because this guy was such a station not taking a lot of aggressive lines
The problem is you beat practically everything and it should be really easy to narrow his range to a specific set of hands based on your description.
People who play like you described don’t typically open QT from anywhere. They limp it.
They do typically open big pocket pairs though. Based on the river K and the action prior, it’s unlikely he has QQ, TT-. So even if his range is solely AA, KK, & JJ, you still have 60% equity vs that range and only need ~42% equity to call.
By folding, you need to be certain that V never does this with AA (in reality it’s really 3 combos of AA, but bad players play in a vacuum and tend to do the same thing with a specific hand, so in this case if he does it with 1 combo of AA, he would do it with all combos of AA).
Don’t get me wrong, a fold could be the correct play, but you would have to be certain. If you’re going to be folding bad starting hands that make the extremely strong 3rd nuts incorrectly ever, you just can’t play those hands. The value of being able to play those hands is in getting paid off when you have extremely strong made hands. Once you lose that and you’re profit/loss will be overtaken by all the typical times you c/f. (Bare in mind, this hands 3rd nuts is entirely different than having the Q on a 4 suit board, ie something where it’s easy for V to have the nuts/2nd nuts)