Quote:
Originally Posted by 6bet me
When I jammed river, these were my assumptions:
- Villain will always fold a straight
- Villain will always fold a baby flush
- Villain will sometimes call with KTss, KQss and QTss (3 combos), but he'll sometimes fold too, given that I doubt he thinks I'm ever bluffing here
- There are over 30 combos of straights and baby flushes in villain's range, meaning that he should fold more than 90% of the time here and thus this should be a profitable bluff
Are these fair assumptions to make?
This is a very interesting hand.
Short term in the moment this is profitable imo
Especially against v's with no history (competent villains)
If you are going to pull this on v's with history you need to balance your overbet range just like anything else
V- should fold everything (even K high flush is a hero call)
I like the overbet here because its nuts or nothing (being so deep he has to fold over (90%)
If we just raise here to 250-300 v might sigh call
Well Played