Quote:
Originally Posted by hyperknit
For sure thanks for the sound general advice. But here in this specific spot what do u think?
My point was that it depends on villain and what he calls preflop and flop with and that isn't clear from your description.
Given your description my general inclination is too check turn. The key consideration here is how much AX is in villain's range on the turn. If they have a lot of AX then check turn and hope to catch your straight. If their range has a lot of low pairs and villain will fold to continued action then barrel away.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hyperknit
Because I think cbetting this dry flop should be printing, given it’s hard to have anything here, and we can get folds from lots of random suited connectors, broadways, baby pairs.
This depends heavily on villain. How many of those hands does he really have in this case? He called a raise out of the SB knowing he was likely to be heads up. He has to be very loose before I expect a lot of QJo type hands but if that is the case then c-betting is obvious.
Quote:
Originally Posted by hyperknit
I suppose I could just barrel 3 streets as a dark tunnel bluff might actually be ok vs this villain
Villain needs a very specific profile and to be spectacularly bad before regularly barreling 3 streets is a good idea. If villain has a lot of low pairs in his range, not a lot of AX and will give up to 3 barrels consistently it can be profitable but it will be high variance also.
Trying to barrel stations just because they rarely have anything strong is a mistake. They are still going to "hero" call a lot despite having middle/low pairs. Wait until you actually have value and then bet.