Quote:
Originally Posted by Buster65
I'm still not convinced from what you said that V overvalues flushes on this paired board OTR.
I stick with my original advice, fold.
I'd be a lot more willing to call if V HAD shoved. Not too many 1/3 players are min raising you OTR with less than a boat. It just doesn't happen often enough to bluff catch here.
I didn't take J4 or J6 out of my range for V because, while they should raise on a flop like this (and will if they have AK on an AK5 board), I just find people are not as willing to do that with a "crappy" 2 pair. If the turn doesn't bring the flush, they are more willing to start hammering away. I also kinda discounted the flush since we didn't hear from him OTT. Most 1/3 players are gonna let you know when they hit their draw.
Unless I have a specific read vs a specific V that he DOES overvalue flushes on a paired board OTR (not just that he tends to overvalue his relative hand strength vs my range), Imma let this one go against most of the players in my player pool.
We need 18.5% to call. We're 17.7% against QJ,J6,J4,44. We have a read that he may overvalue hands.
And you're gonna fold?