Quote:
Originally Posted by Spanishmoon
Against many Vs, I would be tempted to down bet the river, repping a small flush betting for value. Given the board, V would just call with his vulnerable two under-pair combos and his occasional KsQ/QJs combos.
He would raise our river bet with most flushes, which I think is better for us. I'm concerned about taking a passive line and having to make a hero call if V jams or bets the pot.
A passive line under-realizes our equity against the hands from which we can extract value and opens us up to lots of bluffs. This is just a hypothesis and I could be very wrong, so if I am please let me know as I'm anxious to learn.
AP Hero lead for $20 on the river, and Villain called with 8
3
The blocking bet on the river scared him into thinking we had a bigger flush (he said as much). I think if I had checked the river, he would have bet more than $20.
Agree with those that argued for a bigger bet on the flop. Why not get as much value on the flop when you probably have the best hand?
I think this V would have also raised two-pair combos on flop, so the call indicates, flush draw, straight draw, or pair plus gutter type hands. My live read was that he was flushing, but I also picked up on the "lets get this guy who sucked out on me" vibe. So I think him bluffing the river was a possibility if he didn't make his hand. As such I think the blocker bet saved me some money. Unlikely that he would raise me unless he has me beat.
Is there any good argument for check folding this river (say to a half PSB or more, for arguments sake)?