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1/3 Flopped a flush in BB 1/3 Flopped a flush in BB

06-07-2016 , 08:05 PM
Question on my river sizing

I am in the BB with Qc2c with a $450 stack
Game is pretty bad so I cover table. The players are all pretty bad except for the guy on my left but he is card dead and hasn't starting abusing me yet so it's fine.

4 limpers and I check

$15 pot

A57

I lead for $10
Every one folds except this lady who seems to have a wide limping range. I only saw her raise one hand on the flop and it was a flopped set.

$35 pot
Turn Qd
I lead $25
She calls
(who likes $30 here better?) I didn't want to blow her off a hand but I don't think $5 makes a huge difference.

$85 pot
River 8d
All the club draws missed, so he most likely has a hand like Ax or K clubs. I don't think I make a ton of value from those and it doesn't look like she has a huge hand or we would of heard about it already. She seems a tad cagey

I lead $35
she calls
(Should we try and get greedy here?) Is the EV of betting $50+ even all the way up to pot more +EV than trying to get a crying call from Ax?

She mucked so i have no idea what she had.
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-07-2016 , 08:22 PM
$55 OTR
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-07-2016 , 10:35 PM
Hard to say. OTT seems fine. OTR seems a little light... Ax seems likely and a little over half seems best... 50?
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-07-2016 , 10:38 PM
Based on table description, seems fine
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-07-2016 , 10:54 PM
Bet-bet-bet. I'd have gone higher on the river. Around 50-60 would be better. Otherwise fine. wp
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-08-2016 , 11:52 AM
I'd probably PSB the first two streets (the difference in calling frequency facing a 2/3-3/4 PSB vs PSB is most likely 0%, especially on early streets where lol $ is involved). Depending on stacks, I'd consider shoving the river (even if this does require an overbet).

GcluelessNLnoobG
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-08-2016 , 11:57 AM
go bigger on the turn. I would target her pair/club draw and Kc hands that will likely not fold. I would over-bet the pot a bit, maybe $45-$50.

As played, you've got 2 calls from a tight villain, she either has a value hand that is likely not folding after calling 2 streets, or she has a naked club that is folding no matter what you bet. I would bet full pot on river $85.
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-08-2016 , 03:36 PM
the question is whether it's more profitable to make a small amount from her bad hands or a big amount from smaller flushes (plus losing more to Kx flushes perhaps). So we're comparing

(% she has Ax) * (biggest bet size that Ax calls)
(% she has smaller flush) * (biggest bet size that flush calls)
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-08-2016 , 03:50 PM
$20 otf.

$40+ ott.

If their calling any bet, they'll call big bets.
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote
06-08-2016 , 04:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
$20 otf.

$40+ ott.

If their calling any bet, they'll call big bets.
20 is over pot.

Doesn't this scream value and don't draw? I am defiantly folding almost everything except 2pair+ to that bet
1/3 Flopped a flush in BB Quote

      
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