Two Plus Two Publishing LLC Two Plus Two Publishing LLC

Go Back   Two Plus Two Poker Forums > >

Live Low-stakes NL Discussion of up to 3/5 live no-limit, pot-limit and spread-limit Texas Hold'em poker games, situations and strategies.

Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-13-2017, 11:13 AM   #1
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 14
1/3-EV on play?

New table formed, first 30 minutes of play. Table has just filled, and since going 9 handed seems relatively passive pre, with most pots being limped.

Villain 1 seems tight. Older guy 50+, bought in full, hasn't played many hands (hasn't shown any down).

Villain 2. 50+, bought in full. Involved in a lot of pots, seems to be betting a lot post flop.

Hero- Hasn't really played any hands yet. Bought in for about 66BB.

Hero dealt 9c10c on button.

About 5 limpers to hero, hero overlimps in position.

V1 makes it 12 from the BB.
V2 UTG calls, 3 other callers, hero calls.

Pot 60ish.
Flop:Jc 9h 8d

V1 leads for 25.
V2 min raises to 50.
Folds to hero.

Hero AI for 183.

So AP I was thinking V1 despite NOT playing alot of hands, had pretty much a 100% cbet frequency, and neither of these guys were paying much attention to flop textures. V2s min raise just seemed weak, and he's been agro/splashy in a lot of pots post flop. I think V2 can be doing this with any piece of the flop.

With mid pair+OESD+BDSF I feel like I have a lot of equity in this spot. I also have a 10 blocker, and wanted to try to get the money in before any cards come up to kill the action.
medic2038 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-13-2017, 11:51 AM   #2
old hand
QuantumSurfer's Avatar
Join Date: May 2012
Location: Home on the Range
Posts: 1,913
Re: 1/3-EV on play?

Snap fold. Probably fold pre as well since we're pretty shallow, but whatever, we have position. You can get an equity calc to find your equity. I think we're at best ~35% here.

Also, after only 30 minutes, you've only seen maybe 15-20 hands top. Way too small of a sample size to draw reads from frequencies alone.
QuantumSurfer is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-14-2017, 05:04 AM   #3
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 5,227
Re: 1/3-EV on play?

Minatorr is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2017, 09:04 AM   #4
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 14
Re: 1/3-EV on play?

Granted there's much better spots, but....

So found a free equity program that works a lot like poker stove.

If we give V2, Any combo of board pairs and 2p (any J,9,8), we're 60/40 against that range.
Keeping V1 around and giving him A10+, and any PP, we're 38/30/30% against both.
medic2038 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 05-15-2017, 10:26 AM   #5
Join Date: Jan 2015
Location: Getting There
Posts: 4,902
Re: 1/3-EV on play?

~41% eq required if V2 never folds and V1 always does.
Amanaplan is offline   Reply With Quote


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:46 PM.

Powered by vBulletin®
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright 2008-2020, Two Plus Two Interactive