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Old 05-13-2017, 11:13 AM   #1
medic2038
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1/3-EV on play?

New table formed, first 30 minutes of play. Table has just filled, and since going 9 handed seems relatively passive pre, with most pots being limped.

Villain 1 seems tight. Older guy 50+, bought in full, hasn't played many hands (hasn't shown any down).

Villain 2. 50+, bought in full. Involved in a lot of pots, seems to be betting a lot post flop.

Hero- Hasn't really played any hands yet. Bought in for about 66BB.

Hero dealt 9c10c on button.

About 5 limpers to hero, hero overlimps in position.

V1 makes it 12 from the BB.
V2 UTG calls, 3 other callers, hero calls.

Pot 60ish.
Flop:Jc 9h 8d

V1 leads for 25.
V2 min raises to 50.
Folds to hero.

Hero AI for 183.

So AP I was thinking V1 despite NOT playing alot of hands, had pretty much a 100% cbet frequency, and neither of these guys were paying much attention to flop textures. V2s min raise just seemed weak, and he's been agro/splashy in a lot of pots post flop. I think V2 can be doing this with any piece of the flop.

With mid pair+OESD+BDSF I feel like I have a lot of equity in this spot. I also have a 10 blocker, and wanted to try to get the money in before any cards come up to kill the action.
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Old 05-13-2017, 11:51 AM   #2
QuantumSurfer
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Re: 1/3-EV on play?

Snap fold. Probably fold pre as well since we're pretty shallow, but whatever, we have position. You can get an equity calc to find your equity. I think we're at best ~35% here.

Also, after only 30 minutes, you've only seen maybe 15-20 hands top. Way too small of a sample size to draw reads from frequencies alone.
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Old 05-14-2017, 05:04 AM   #3
Minatorr
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Re: 1/3-EV on play?

-EV
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Old 05-15-2017, 09:04 AM   #4
medic2038
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Re: 1/3-EV on play?

Granted there's much better spots, but....

So found a free equity program that works a lot like poker stove.

If we give V2, Any combo of board pairs and 2p (any J,9,8), we're 60/40 against that range.
Keeping V1 around and giving him A10+, and any PP, we're 38/30/30% against both.
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Old 05-15-2017, 10:26 AM   #5
Amanaplan
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Re: 1/3-EV on play?

~41% eq required if V2 never folds and V1 always does.
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