Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
Just about every time someone says this on this forum, its wrong. Its wrong here also. The percentage of folds I get when cbetting a paired board is very high. If its HU and I have 2 overs, a backdoor FD and whats probably also the best hand...Im betting.
Im gonna go out on a limb and assume that you havent really taken a look at Equilab/Flopzilla/PIO/Pokerstove much at all, and any form of range analysis/constructions.
Yes, betting may be +EV in H3 but checking is probably better and yields more EV and induces more mistakes/flop stabs w/ low equity. H1 i exaggerated, a cbet isnt terrible but i’d still check. Just because we check doesnt mean that we x/f every single time. That’s a very strange assumption people tend to make when playing OOP. It’s like when they get dbl barreled on a montone board with a set and just rip OTT 300bb deep bc they don’t know what to do on rivers (hand posted today). IP will check or give up a lot bc they’re passive. So on 30-70% of rivers we just check and IP checks back. We can delay cbet some turns, or we can check it down and win with K high. Checking H1 is literally not the end of the world. IP technically is supposed to stab this with 70-90% freq but in practice live players are going to very very underbluff vs a missed cbet. Thus we overrealize our equity and can even bluff future streets very profitably, since IP should rarely ever check a weak overpair or 6x here. They’ll just bet all their pairs, flush draws, and check their garbage / A-high that they’ll probably fold on later streets
H2 KTo no diamond cbet is definitely bad and there’s literally no good reason to cbet vs two players on this board. If you’re defending a flop cbet on this board vs two players without a diamond I really don’t know what to tell you other than to seriously consider taking even a peak at range analysis/constructions
Yes you win a lot of money playing your unorthodox style but if you ever looked beyond it, you’d be a lot better and win even more money. I’d bet on that. And also because you have basically zero knowledge of theory, you’ll get a lot in return if you ever looked at it for even a little bit (diminishing marginal returns idea). Don’t think you would anytime soon but your loss
Last edited by Minatorr; 02-06-2019 at 04:43 PM.