Hi,

No real history with villain as I sat down to the table max 5-6 hands back (our table just broke right before).

I saw him though showing down Q7s and scooping quite a sizeable pot (>2-300) against an A6 on a A6xxx board with a flush. Don't know what happened in the hand earlier as they were already playing the hand when I sat down.

Apparently villain was quite loose/laggy but ofc couldn't tell for sure with so few HH.

OTTH:

There's a $5 UTG straddle then 2 calls from MP and a few folds.
Villain makes it $25 from BTN.

I'm in the SB with AQ and went for a sqz to $75.

Thoughts? I did not fancy the call as presumably other players would've come along and we have no position.

Folds to BTN who makes the call. Effective stacks are around $800.

[FLOP]

569

I cbet $80. Although this is not the best flop for us and maybe hits V's range better, we have 2 overs and the nut FD.

V calls.

[TURN]

6

I bet $150. V calls again

[RIVER]

8

We have around $500 behind, pot is ~$610-620

Hero? What would V's range be here in your opinion? Any thoughts welcomed.

Thanks.

I lean to a call preflop. AQs plays fine multiway and a call here will create that multiway pot. Admittedly there are downsides as we'll be OOP and the SPR won't be incredibly high (but it won't be incredibly small either). In the end I think this mostly outweighs the downsides to 3betting, which is this guy is never folding preflop this deep, he'll have position, we'll likely whiff, and the risk (our big stack) isn't really worth the relatively small reward at this point (the smallish current pot). But I'm very passive like that and I know others will favour being more aggressive here.

SPR is just under 5 and we've flopped a monster overcards + nut flush draw. I think I'd lean to a check/jam here even though that is obviously a decent overbet. If we're going to cbet, then I think I'd rather PSB+ to then shove any turn (perhaps slowplaying the nuts). Not really a fan of our inbetween line because it'll leave us hanging OOP if we whiff the turn.

Turn/river is why I attempt to get in stacks ASAP when we have great equity + FE and don't leave ourselves in spots on the river when we end up with neither.

GcluelessNLnoobG

We can definitely size up larger pre to 125 with such a premium hand OOP vs a sticky BTN.

Larger OTF. We would bet larger with most of our range on this flop.

Turn, don't mind a check-call or check-jam given larger pot size given new larger sizing on previous streets.

AP, you are in no man's land here. V can have a ton of 7's and overpairs.

Pretty much all of this. Pre is too small as it gives him a good price to play a pot in position. Flop smashes his range so when we are betting we want to bet on the larger side. Really like c/jamming turn as I’m not sure what betting accomplishes.

Ch/f as played.


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3bet larger when OOP. I'd be more like 120 here. Call isn't a crime but 3bet is better.

Definitely going for an x/r on this flop while my equity is high. I expect villain to bet with any piece of this and frequently with no piece of it as well. If it checks through, that's not a big deal, I'll just go passive with the hand after that. There's no need to x/jam as long as the raise size is committal.

As played, x/jam OTT looks good.

That's an ugly river card. We have to x/f now but you needed to get money in earlier with high equity. With the way this hand has been played we're now sometimes check/folding away the pot when V just floated the flop, but there's nothing to be done as he doesn't have that often enough to call.

Thanks for the replies.

Finally I've chosen the worst possible option by doing a $200 bet/fold. I thought that my play would look like KK+ which wants a crying call from TT-QQ but now I just don't think he had that level of thinking.

How would you balance a turn x/jam?
Anyway, he has shown down JdTd...

I like the 3 bet pre with 800 eff against our described interpretation of V. I don’t like the sizing of $75 though.

I also don’t like the cbet sizing...I think you should go small.