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1/3 AKo vs All In 1/3 AKo vs All In

06-23-2014 , 04:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
I think it's a natural tendency to be MUBSy. I know I'm MUBSy. I can think of 2 very recent examples where I set things up perfectly like this preflop, raising for huge percentages of stack to get things HU with small SPRs, then just went ahead postflop on getting stacks in with big bets, only to get snap called or snapped shipped on, and I just sorta sigh call and expect to be shown the goods (especially against me and my probably fairly tight image), only to be shown lesser hands.

The great thing about setting things up perfectly preflop in order to make postflop easy ABC is that we can simply grit our teeth and follow the plan, thus can totally ignore that natural MUBSy / queasy feeling in the pit of stomach.

Gletthebrainmaketheplan,andletthestomachdigestthef ood,imoG
Agreed. The percentages of stack size, and then the calling off ratios are very valid. In fact, often a fold is a big mathematical mistake.

I'm thinking here, though, that V is shoving with a monster. We could be mathematically correct in calling, yet if we read Villain for a set most often, then isn't a fold the best (most optimal) play?

I keep coming back to - how often does V hit the King with us? It's like flopping a set. It happens, but not that often. If V hits the King, yes, it's a shove for V, yet how often do they smack that flop with KJ? Not that often.

How often to they call pre with any PP? IMO, much more often. They just have to see a flop. I guess AQ or AJ would cal and do the same thing, yet I wonder, how often?

For the most part, I'm still thinking we're behind here, and I'd rather not ship V the cash until V shows me he's capable of shoving light.

Another aspect is that I believe $1-$2 players think in terms of absolute value, for the most part. Meaning stack to pot ratios are not considered. If they have a big hand, they make a big bet, with no consideration for pot size.

Like when a $10 limped pot gets bet $25 from a Soccer Dad. He's got a big hand IMO.
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06-23-2014 , 05:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by River G
Agreed. The percentages of stack size, and then the calling off ratios are very valid. In fact, often a fold is a big mathematical mistake.

I'm thinking here, though, that V is shoving with a monster. We could be mathematically correct in calling, yet if we read Villain for a set most often, then isn't a fold the best (most optimal) play?

I keep coming back to - how often does V hit the King with us? It's like flopping a set. It happens, but not that often. If V hits the King, yes, it's a shove for V, yet how often do they smack that flop with KJ? Not that often.

How often to they call pre with any PP? IMO, much more often. They just have to see a flop. I guess AQ or AJ would cal and do the same thing, yet I wonder, how often?

For the most part, I'm still thinking we're behind here, and I'd rather not ship V the cash until V shows me he's capable of shoving light.

Another aspect is that I believe $1-$2 players think in terms of absolute value, for the most part. Meaning stack to pot ratios are not considered. If they have a big hand, they make a big bet, with no consideration for pot size.

Like when a $10 limped pot gets bet $25 from a Soccer Dad. He's got a big hand IMO.
well, we can´t really make you call, if you want to fold, fold.
all your reasons behind doing so though are based upon memories/history/gut instinct, just a highly intuitive aspect, and nothing quantifyable, on a complete unkn villain.

one question, what is your b/c range on this board, vs a slightly more than pot size raise?
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06-23-2014 , 05:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by javale mc g
well, we can´t really make you call, if you want to fold, fold.
all your reasons behind doing so though are based upon memories/history/gut instinct, just a highly intuitive aspect, and nothing quantifyable, on a complete unkn villain.

one question, what is your b/c range on this board, vs a slightly more than pot size raise?
Yes, very true. Bet/call here I'd think sets, and 2 pair, which I'd rarely have, so sets mostly where I'm hoping to get it all in now.

I understand the reasoning of we're probably making a marginal fold based on instinct. If that is truly the case, then in a vacuum, snap call.

My thought is that in a vacuum, given the action pre, Villain is only doing this with made hands. Kx? Yes. Sets? Most often.
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06-23-2014 , 10:22 PM
Grunch: Never folding. Especially without reads. Might as well not even play the game if we are willing to. Plus we have Ac.
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06-23-2014 , 10:42 PM
The only way I would ever fold that for the small stack sizes would be if the guy is a pure OMC. 99% of the time this is an easy snap call.
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06-24-2014 , 07:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucknuts
We need a containment thread for people who want to post hands in which they were coolered and ask if they played it ok.
+1.

Yeah, why would anybody bother to respond to such a mundane question?

Anyway, thanks guys. Just wanted to see if anybody had second thoughts like I did. I guess I'm not the only one.

Spoiler:
I called. He turned over KQo, brick, brick, now the fist pump can't end up in my mouth.

Last edited by Drew_Dead; 06-24-2014 at 07:39 PM.
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06-24-2014 , 11:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by River G
OMC = Old Man Coffee. Older player, generally very tight, only puts money in the pot with a near nutted hand.
I don't see this type of player around KC at NL tables. We only have three little rooms. The OMCs (and there are a lot of them) are pretty much just playing LLHE (at the two rooms that even have LLHE) and chasing the bad beat jackpot, which is usually $200K+ by the time somebody hits it - about 2 or 3 times a year. And I'm about the nittyest player I see at these $1/3 NL tables. [see spoiler]
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06-27-2014 , 10:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cheers4Booze
Grunch: Never folding. Especially without reads. Might as well not even play the game if we are willing to. Plus we have Ac.
Actually having the Ac in our hand is worse because it takes away combos of nut flush draws that villain can have.
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06-27-2014 , 11:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mucknuts
We need a containment thread for people who want to post hands in which they were coolered and ask if they played it ok.
Lmao and we would include this hand...
1/3 AKo vs All In Quote
06-27-2014 , 11:03 PM
I do understand the second thoughts OP I just typically like most wouldn't have them till after this snap off call because against most Villains with his stack he plays a set really weird like flatting and prolly flatting the turn too lol
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