I played at Star casino in Sydney last week and towards the end of a session I get his hand.

Villain is an agro reg that bluffs way too much. I just took over $200 from him maybe 1 or 2 hands before after he tried to bluff my turned two pair. He now sits with $101 and I have just under $1k. Now this is at the end of the session literally my last hand.

I open utg for $13 with AKo which is called in early position by a passive lady who plays Abc. Then villain 3bets to $55 from late position. Now I know he has a pair here im putting him on a middle pair and i get the idea he is ready to leave after putting his satchel on and time charge about to be demanded. So am I looking to always get it in here 50/50?

Thanks be nice

is this post serious?

Assuming the range you assign, and a reasonable certainty that alphabet lady wouldnt have flatted a hand with which she could call a 4b, getting it all in should be pretty close to break even.

That said, based on the situation you describe, i think the range you assign is too narrow. He's lost most of his stack. He's getting ready to leave having booked a somewhat significant loss. Maybe he just wants to spin the wheel and try to get lucky and most of the way out of the red. I don't think you can really exclude big suited aces, big suited broadway, and an eclectic mix of other random hands just looking to get lucky.

Think of it this way.

A $200 loss causes X amount of negative feeling for V.
A $300 loss cauises an amount of negative feelings larger than X, but only a little bit larger.
A near break even after being down is proabably an emotionally neutral experience.

From this point of view, he'd be a fool not to get it in with 9tss before he bounces.

If your sure he has a pocket pair and passive lady never has a hand to call a raise here, then it will be slightly +EV because of dead money. I would expect villains range to be much wider, and with many this would be nearly any two cards.

My only question here would be flatting to let passive lady come along with worse hands or raising to isolate. If passive lady is bad enough to call the raise with dominated aces, then I would flat here some of the time. Otherwise I raise to $150/200 to isolate villain and get him all in preflop.

I think he has a middle pair is not a range. You are not psychic. It is unlikely that you are crushed here and given the villain's description this is a shove 100% of the time.

I'd probably reraise to isolate in order to get HU vs this guy. Putting him on a pair is far too tight a range, imo. This guy is an aggro bluffy gambloor who is only sitting with $101 at a 1/3 table and sees $26 of dead money in the pot in front of him. His range is slightly tighter than ATC, and we crush that.

GcluelessNLnoobG

I think it's actually slightly -EV if we know he has a pocket pair (even if we exclude AA/KK).

But agree his range is soooo much more wider than this, so super happy to get it in with him.

This is my thinking also.