Quote:
Originally Posted by bodybuilder32
We are crushed by quite a few hands and are flipping with all the others we are ahead of at the moment. All the pair plus flush draw combos and straight/flush combos. There are no hands here that we are crushing.
Lots of people in this thread saying we're beaten by a ton of hands. I wanted to look at this further, because when somebody says "we are crushed by quite a few hands" but doesn't enumerate a range, I'm suspicious.
We're crushed by JJ,TT,66,JT. We have 30% equity against JT. As for JJ and TT: have you ever seen a reg limp behind with these hands? I haven't, so let's assume V doesn't have them.
That's 3 combos of 66 and 8 of JT, for a total of 11 combos. I think a reg would often raise JTs but for the sake of discussion we'll ignore that.
As for the hands we're flipping against: you're referring to hands like Tc9c or KcTc? Flush draws make up so few combos, especially when V could be raising (for value!) with a hand as poor as KJo or QJo with a club vs such a tiny bet. There are far more top pair, 2nd pair combos than 2p+ hands, and we crush them. Folding here is a massive mistake.