Quote:
Originally Posted by DrChesspain
I would rather c/r the flop than 3! preflop.
what does a c/r on the flop actually accomplish? yes, we get him to fold his 6 outers, but he's already overbet them and given himself a terrible price (ie calling against these is already a big FTOP win) while I agree that we're ahead a significant majority of the time, villain CAN have big hands on the flop, and it would not surprise me to see this player make this kind of play with JJ+. furthermore, every hand that flopped big is squarely in villain's range both PF and given the flop overbet. given image and table dynamics, I would not be surprised if villain is pretty strong on this flop since he expects no one to believe him.
when we raise, there aren't really many worse hands we can expect villain to call with, and even if he does, we can't profitably continue betting. there also aren't any better hands we can expect to fold out. maybe TT/99 maybe but probably not.
so what you're saying is that we should pass up an opportunity to make a raise PF for value so that we can turn a weak overpair/2 outer into a bluff after villain has overbet the pot in position on the flop? no wonder villain is sitting on $1000.