Quote:
Originally Posted by Willyoman
For the rest of the read, I see OP saying things like: "capable of making big bluffs on the turn/river... (but) he's not a "steal the pot on the flop" kind of guy... Knows hero doesn't put in a lot of money without a good hand. Also knows hero can make smart folds."
I just don't find that part of the read to be very reliable. I mean, do you have 2,000 hands on the guy? He's loose/passive pre, does not try to "steal" pots on the flop, but can make big bluffs on the turn and river... he knows hero makes smart folds... etc.
I mean, this is an incredibly detailed read, and if you feel it's spot on, then definitely don't fold the turn. To me, it sounds a little contrived and probably based on very few hands and on quite a bit of speculative thinking... like how can you really know that he thinks you can make smart folds, etc. I think we're over thinking things here.
How many hours? Hmm. I would say I've played with him for probably around 100 hours, so 2500 hands, yeah. Within just the last couple weeks, I've seen him bluff on the river at least twice. I've seen him make large river bluffs (like over $100) on numerous occasions, often when he missed his draw.
He and I rode to the casino together recently.
He's told me multiple times that he thinks I'm a really good player, that I'm tight, he has told me that sometimes I think too much and sometimes I need to just go with my gut. Due to his style he tends to win a ton when he wins--he's had bigger winning days than my biggest.
Once, I c-bet with QsKs on a Ts8s3d board against him, and he called, and the turn came 4s, and I checked after a few seconds, and he shoved 80 or so into the 80ish pot, I instacalled, obviously I was good there.
Trust me, my knowledge of him is pretty good, although not as good as it should be for how many hands I've played with him (I don't pay close enough attention) and I screwed up by betting the turn when I wasn't mentally ready to gii.
Edit: I just remembered another hand he played once, where he bet $75 on the turn against a drunken spewy player, with AsJs, on a Qs Ts x x board, player called, river hit nonflush king, he checked, the spewer shoved 250 in, he snapped it ofc.