Quote:
Originally Posted by wj94
Are you giving up if he calls a flop raise and the turn is a blank? Shoving or folding if he calls a flop raise and leads turn again on a blank?
If the turn is a blank and he checks, we bet as much as we think he would call with a combo draw. This should be more than he would call with an ace or KK, thus increasing the chance we fold out some hands we lose to and get called by hands we beat. Probably around pot-size.
If he donks big on the turn there is no longer any fold equity, and I think in this case we have to weight his range more heavily towards hands that beat us, because he hasn't shown a tendency to go crazy with semi-bluffs... so I think we fold to a big donk on the turn.
If he donks small on the turn (1/2 pot or less) I think we just ship it and expect him to call with a combo draw based on his observed tendencies, and hope he folds his 1 pair hands (or maybe even 2 pair??) that beat us. It really looks like we have a monster hand here, so he will often fold better hands but call with draws. I see people donk small on the turn all the time when they want to see the river with a combo draw.
I'm really only theorizing here, maybe I'm outleveling myself, just thought I'd contribute an unconventional (?) line here that is designed to exploit this particular villain.