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1/2NL Flop decision AK top pair with flush draw

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09-29-2013 , 10:41 PM

jay_got_JJ's

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 665

Hero utg+1 $295 : tag image

Villain button $265 : older white male, between 50-60 years old. tight image. seldom raises, very straight forward player

Preflop $3
H opens to $15 A

Mp2 call
Mp3 call
V call
Sb call
Bb fold

Flop $77 A

Sb checks
H bets $35
folds to villain
V raises to $70
Sb folds
H ?

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09-29-2013 , 10:56 PM

Willyoman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10,468

Given your read, villain is probably pretty nutted (66, 22 are likely).

3-bet and getting it in here is no good. Villain isn't folding better than your TPTK, so you have 0 fold equity.

So call. You are getting > 5:1, and even if you just call with the plan to check/shove a diamond turn, that's +EV. On a non-diamond turn, it's tough playing this oop. Probably check/fold non-diamond turn unless villain lays you excellent odds once again. And maybe villain surprises us with a turn check, and we can then consider how to value bet a bunch of rivers.

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09-29-2013 , 11:00 PM

Willyoman

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 10,468

Though obviously if villain has worse Ax in his range on the flop, getting it in gets you a ton of value and you can't ever consider folding.

I guess that's the decision. If he can have AQ or even AJ+, you should a) get it in on flop or b) call and check/shove turn for value if a flop 3-bet might scare him.

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09-29-2013 , 11:05 PM

wj94

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 7,945

3b to $130 and call a shove. Hopefully free rolling AK but I'm never folding this flop and calling sucks OOP

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09-29-2013 , 11:33 PM

Starpoker

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 594

He is laying you 5:1 to hit the flush draw. You have odds, so call. As others have said, based on your description, raising seems bad unless you know he can do this with AQ/AJ.

Check/shove all diamond turns, otherwise try to get to showdown on the cheaps and only call if he lays you better than 4.5:1 again on the turn.

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09-29-2013 , 11:37 PM

jay_got_JJ's

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2012 Posts: 665

i wanna note that i am unsure if he is capable of raising the flop with AQ/AJ

side note: what do you guys think about the flop bet sizing? i bet relatively small because i had the nut flush draw, otherwise i would have sized it a little bigger

Last edited by jay_got_JJ's; 09-29-2013 at 11:47 PM.

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09-29-2013 , 11:58 PM

wj94

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 7,945

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay_got_JJ's

side note: what do you guys think about the flop bet sizing? i bet relatively small because i had the nut flush draw, otherwise i would have sized it a little bigger

Perfect reason for betting more, not less. Make it look like you're afraid of the flush draw

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09-30-2013 , 01:50 AM

Sol Reader

The Situation

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 9,380

I flat here against most players, and against this one it's more of a flat than a 3bet. I don't think we're definitely facing a better hand; villain can be raising for value or to find out where he's at with a worse Ax. We are afraid of very few turns so I like flatting in this spot pretty much always.

Flop betsizing is not awful but if you're facing people who aren't going to float, raise, or have many marginal hands to call you with, you might as well bet bigger.

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