Hero- Early 20s white guy beard. Played snug for first hour but recently have been opening a lot of pots pre and taking them down otf or pre.

V1- Late 30s drinking miller lite typical parx degen. Has shown down two bluffs earlier in the session but has won some big pots with the nuts.

Effective stacks 450$

Our hand: AK

3 Limps to Hero in HJ Raise to 14$

Folded behind 2 callers in front.

Flop A76

V1: Leads for 15$

V2: Folds

Hero: Calls 15. Original thought was setting his own price and wanted to see where he was in the hand, didn't think he was capable of leading a set.

Turn 7

V1: Leads for 40$

Hero: Calls. Thought about a raise here to avoid huge river bet but decided to call.

River: 3

V1: Leads again for 60$

Hero?? Obviously call or fold here but any thoughts on his hand?

Stack sizes?

I'd be really tempted to min-raise the river.

Really need to know stack sizes. The bigger the stacks, the cooler I am with passively calling down. The smaller the stacks, the more I'm for committing earlier.

GcluelessNLnoobG

Stack sizes have been added. I wasn't too happy about his river sizing but min raising didn't really cross my mind due to only inviting better hands to call but I can see your logic as most aces that we beat would call but I don't see too many aces we beat betting 60$ otr.

Why are you contemplating raising to avoid a river bet? If you raise the turn it needs to be for value because he will call with a worse A or with a diamond draw

i think it´s worth a little value raise OTR, or maybe even a big one... maybe even shoving.

I typically wouldn't be considering it but had thought of the idea prior to hand watching his bet sizes on his bluffs. As I said I did call and agree that raising on the turn doesn't do much good for us unless they're flush draw bricks or weaker aces stick around.

Knowing the stack sizes, passive me would just call down. I definitely don't want to get on my way to playing for 225bb with a hand as little (and obvious) as TP. Even though his flop and river bets weren't terrific for value, we still get 3 streets with TP if we're good (and I'm fairly happy with that considering I would have usually pot controlled anyways). Not sure I like opening things up again on the river against a guy who can bluff, and are stacks really such that we can raise/fold?

GmrpassiveG

Agreed I ended up calling after some thought as his line somewhat confused me but I had him on a 6 or a 7 the whole way but his turn bet seemed more like a 6 turned into a bluff. He showed 79. Appreciate the input gents.

If he's not donking a set, why not raise flop? He's drawing pretty cheap and has at least some implieds against us since our hand is decent. He's also capable of bluffing, so i would be inclined to make him pay to draw. This is based on your read that he won't donk with a set. You're only losing to a couple Ax combos.

Prob couldve gone bigger pre too. With 450 effective and 45 in the pot the spr isn't favorable for your hand unless you can win w/o a showdown often. If he's donking with mp I'm guessing that's not often the case...