Quote:
Originally Posted by MackCorl
Make a plan and stick with it.
By calling the flop raise you need to have it made up that if the turn hits you/misses him you are getting it in or don't call the flop raise.
Don't go into these situations blind.
What if the plan involves evaluation? Surely if we receive new information on the turn we should use that to re-think our original plan, no?
The basic plan I had when calling the flop was that I could get money in OTT when a blank hits since his equity will be severely reduced. I don't see any point in gii OTF when most of his realistic range is either a slight underdog to a big favorite. Blank turns will cut part of his range's equity in half. However, I wanted to look at his bet sizing/timing/demeanor to further evaluate the likelihood that he holds a set vs the likelihood that he holds a 12 out draw. It was alarming to me that he would quickly bet out a 3/4 psb on the turn after a card arrived that was more likely to help my range than his; the bet size/manner seemed to say, "I know that card was more likely to help you, but I really don't care." I expected to see at least a slight pause if he held something like QJss. So at this point I felt like I could beat a hand like A3ss, but began to feel his actions made it seem somewhat likely he shows up with 44/77.