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1/2 turn bluff raise spot 1/2 turn bluff raise spot

07-20-2018 , 04:18 PM
V1 (EP): 50 ish Asian woman, super tight passive and x/c QQ on K85 after raising pre ($350)
V2 (MP): 50 ish white guy, loose pre but has folded lots post including bet/folding a couple times; (covers both)
Hero (BTN): late 20s Asian guy, played one hand in the last hour ($300)

V1 opens $12 in EP. V2 calls, someone else calls. Hero calls on the BTN with JJ while saying "alright I'm priced in" so no one will put me on such a strong hand. Could squeeze pre to get value from flatters but I think V1's raising range is so tight, maybe 99+ AK, AQs, it's basically a bluff vs her and she's gonna continue most of the time with hands that have me in bad shape and if she does the flatters are just gonna mostly fold.

Flop: AT4 ($46)

V1 quickly checks. V2 bets $12. Other flatter folds. V1 calls out of turn. Hero calls and V1's out of turn call stands.

Turn: 6 ($82)

V1 quickly checks. V2 bets $25. Hero ???

At this point my hand is definitely no good. I could just fold, but V1 clearly hates the ace and just wants to get to showdown for as cheap as possible. V2 is also sizing this very small. Could be a Tx hand, but even if that were true V1 can easily have me beat with KK or QQ. Could also be an ace with "a kicker he's not proud of" as Ed Miller would say. I've been card dead and played like a hand in the last hour. I'm almost certain V1 is folding to a raise (might even fold to this $25 bet), and if I'm right about my table image and reads on V2, he might even fold a hand as strong as A9 to a raise. Maybe even AJ although that's borderline wishful thinking. I double block that hand though so it helps my case a little.
1/2 turn bluff raise spot Quote
07-20-2018 , 04:29 PM
Raise would be a pretty big spew given the tight passive EP raiser still in the pot. Just because someone is betting tiny into two people doesn't mean you should be raising 100% of the time. It would be better to have clubs or a gutshot or something more than two outs.

If you call and raise on the river on certain cards you probably get a lot more credit. Not that I would do that all the time but a reasonable argument can be made for calling the turn and seeing what happens/potentially bluffing favorable rivers. Folding turn is probably not horrendous either. I think raising turn is by far the worst option though.
1/2 turn bluff raise spot Quote
07-20-2018 , 04:30 PM
Seems like a sure way to lose the max with JJ.
1/2 turn bluff raise spot Quote
07-21-2018 , 06:35 AM
Just fold the flop. Or atleast the turn. Board is dry so he can be betting small with stronger hands sometimes and without reads, you don’t know if he will fold to a raise.

Also, JJ seems like a bad hand to do it with. Rather do it with a broadway gutshot or Tx/4x that blocks sets.
1/2 turn bluff raise spot Quote

      
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