Quote:
Originally Posted by momo_uk
True but a triple donk line on that board from a 1/2 player beats AT you think? It’s just such an outlier. KT maybe a clearer fold, but AT seems like a very close call/fold situation.
Yeah, I think KT/QT/J10/109 are very clear folds since they're at the bottom of our range, and we arrive to the river to 10x+, sets, and FHs. And that A10 is pretty close.
I think we should basically almost always call JJ+, they could even be value betting worse (if we have AA, they can have JJ/QQ very rarely), and apparently we beat counterfeited two pair assuming we have an overpair. Ime i've seen the weirdest hands show up from triple donk lines.
But these are spots where it's probably ok to pass up the variance, because I believe at best this is a super slightly +EV call, sometimes definitely -ev depending on the player