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1/2 Thin River Raise? 1/2 Thin River Raise?

09-27-2018 , 10:27 AM
Playing at my standard 1/2 home game, we are playing 5-handed and decently late in the night.

Reads:

V1 ($550): Pretty good reg, likes to be overly aggressive and has made some light calls in the past, but still pretty solid overall

V2 ($330): Another good player, also on the aggressive side and likes to bluff too much.

OTTH:

Hero raises QQ UTG to $10, V1 on the BTN calls, SB calls, V2 in the BB calls.

Flop: AJ7 Pot = $40

Checks through

Turn: 4 Pot = $40

Checks to V2, bets $25, V1 calls, Hero calls, (SB folds)

River: Q Pot = $115

V1 leads for $70, Hero raises to $220.


Analysis:

Preflop: Seems standard

Flop: Seems like a good check/call hand, not upset that it checks through.

Turn: Might be spewy, should I just fold? I guess calling isn't awful but I don't really know what to do

River: I've raised in these spots as bluffs before, so I was thinking that I need to go thinner for value as well. I obviously value-owning myself against a hand like KsTx or KxTs but that's only a few combos. I would expect him to raise/bet a baby flush on the turn, so really all he can have that beats me is decently nutted flushes (some of which 3-bet river), and the broadway straight. I would expect that he calls with all lower sets, stronger two pairs, and maybe a light call with the Ks in his hand.

I don't know, maybe this is too loose. I also still have V2 behind me, which isn't amazing. What do you guys think?
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