Villain in this hand is a ~40 year old black guy. Seems to play reasonably well. Up a lot tonight. I think I'd seen him value-bet somewhat thinly for 1/2 and has also induced a bunch of folds tonight (never shows, so no idea whether he had the goods in those hands).
Hero is up a little tonight. Mid-30s white guy. Playing pretty TAG but will limp along with PPs and suited connectors/one-gappers.
Limp-happy table. Two decent guys to my left and villain to my right. Otherwise play is pretty fishy.
Effective stacks $250. There are also some short stacks ~$100 in the middle.
Hero is BB with 7
4
. Villain is on Button.
Limped around 6 ways, including SB. Hero checks option.
Flop ($10 after rake and BBJ) 9
8
5
Checks around
Turn ($10) 6
SB checks, Hero bets $10, folded around to Villain on button who calls, SB folds
River ($28) 6
Hero bets $15, Villain raises to $30
So it's back to hero. This seems like such a value bet with either T7 or a turned two pair that backed into a full house. But it's so small that I feel priced in.
After the rake it will be $15 to win $70. But I'm probably calling for a chop at best, making it $15 to win $35.
If he makes it $50 instead of $30, I should definitely fold.
Thoughts on this hand (sizing, river decision) in particular? Also, I'm looking for insights into playing one-liner boards in passive/fishy games. Any threads on this topic more generally.