Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
I mean the actual hand the OMC had there (KcT) is an even more nonsensical 4x pot bet than if he flopped the nuts. Can anyone have a go at explaining the thought process of betting 40 with broadway and the NFD? Is it to bluff out small flushes?
It's the hand I expected to see there. "OMG I have a straight on this scary board" plus "I have the best redraw so I don't care if no one believes me."
Non-nut flushes (especially middle ones like OP's, with more lower possibilities than higher ones) will find the bet weird and unconvincing. It smells like a small flush (7
6
, 6
5
, etc.) that doesn't want to see another club. Anybody with the T
probably figures they might catch a royal and they and probably the next smaller
or two could think they'd catch up on a fourth one on board.
And, if nobody's calling $40 OTF, there's no money in making his nut flush anyway. A reasonable bet probably projects more strength than a strange scared-looking bet. And if he does get a flop call, there's a pot worth playing for.
I'm not saying he's right, or even that he's thinking, but it's possible there's actually some thought behind it.