Quote:
Originally Posted by Tbirdx24
IMO it's under-repped because any pair bets this turn for value. You said yourself in the above quote "middle pairs and other weak hands that might bet this turn...". So, in the mind of your standard 1/2 donk with T8s, he loves calling turn thinking he's in great shape, and the river A even further solidifies in his head "no way hero has an Ace", and snap calls river. I see it all the time, I'm sure you do too.
Might is the key word here. AX+ is the most likely hand for betting, weaker hands might venture a bet but 6 ways it's unlikely. When the turn gets called by two only the most stationary and fishy villains are thinking a weak hand continues. 3 ways to the river somebody probably has the ace and only the worst opponents are not going to realize that.
Often I see this river checked down at 1/2 unless somebody has a boat. The EP AX is likely to check/call the river hoping somebody bets because a bet on their part is strong and later hands are not likely to bluff this board. Exceptions abound though when the AX is fishy or targeting somebody.